The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Andrea Pellegrino v Lloyd Harris

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 08:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrea Pellegrino (Local)

Prediction 67.40%1.48fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -5.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%67.35%67.65%68.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.381.4575.19%72.04%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lloyd Harris (Visit)

Prediction 32.60%3.07fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.599%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.76%32.65%32.35%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.853.0336.36%34.94%35.09%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Andrea Pellegrino (Local): 67.40%; Lloyd Harris (Visit): 32.60%. For Lloyd Harris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.03, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -2.27%E -1.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -4.15%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.29%E -3.02%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 07:19
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.97%E -3.52%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -1.22%E -0.402%K -0.599%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -4.97%E -3.52%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -9.37%E -3.37%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 07:49
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.64%E -4.03%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 02:18
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.99%E -5.07%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 06:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -7.66%E -5.59%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -6.76%E -2.36%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 06:38
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.66%E -5.59%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 06:39
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -7.66%E -5.59%K -20.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.08%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 06:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -8.34%E -6.13%K -23.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -8.71%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 07:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.95%EV -10.36%E -7.79%K -31.40%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.05%EV -8.06%E -2.86%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 06:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-20 07:49
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%3.0%2026-05-20 07:49