The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alexis Galarneau v Federico Cinà

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexis Galarneau (Local)

Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -0.604%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.90%24.74%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.674.0028.57%26.95%27.21%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Federico Cinà (Visit)

Prediction 75.15%1.33fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%75.10%75.26%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.3183.33%80.38%80.32%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexis Galarneau (Local): 24.85%; Federico Cinà (Visit): 75.15%. For Alexis Galarneau (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.604%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.604%E -0.151%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.06%E -4.85%K -24.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 11:00
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.85%E -0.468%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.56%E -3.59%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 11:00
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.57%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 11:50
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.82%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.06%E -4.85%K -24.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 11:00
GTbets🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -7.31%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.01%EV -1.55%E -1.18%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.06%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.82%E -8.18%K -49.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 11:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.81%E -5.49%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 10:58
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.30%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.81%E -5.49%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.71%EV -9.55%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.29%EV -5.31%E -4.21%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 11:39
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 11:50
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.79%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.32%E -6.82%K -37.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 11:50
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.03%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.06%E -4.85%K -24.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98%2.8%2026-05-21 11:50