The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alex Molcan v Felix Gill

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Prediction 75.50%1.32fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.55%75.70%75.26%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.221.2983.33%81.14%81.97%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felix Gill (Visit)

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV +0.456%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.30%24.74%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.813.794.1027.40%26.25%26.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex Molcan (Local): 75.50%; Felix Gill (Visit): 24.50%. For Felix Gill (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.456%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.65%E -7.15%K -41.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV +0.456%E +0.111%K +0.147%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-20 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -9.40%E -7.83%K -47.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 13:49
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -9.40%E -7.83%K -47.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -5.67%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -2.61%E -2.02%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -6.16%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.36%E -2.63%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 13:49
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.63%E -4.50%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.12%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 13:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -7.14%E -5.80%K -31.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.34%E -2.53%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 13:48
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -9.40%E -7.83%K -47.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -10.57%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-05-20 13:50
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-05-20 13:49