The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Alejandro Moro Canas v Lukas Neumayer

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alejandro Moro Canas (Local)

Prediction 9.72%10.29fair odd
EV +6.90%
Edge +0.627%
Kelly +0.690%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.56%9.93%9.72%11.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.379.449.1311.0011.95%10.60%10.96%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lukas Neumayer (Visit)

Prediction 90.28%1.11fair odd
EV +0.213%
Edge +0.192%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.29%90.07%90.28%91.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.021.1198.04%96.46%98.04%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Moro Canas (Local): 9.72%; Lukas Neumayer (Visit): 90.28%. For Alejandro Moro Canas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.90%E +0.627%K +0.690%G +0.048%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 11:49
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -2.82%E -0.282%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 11:49
Fliff🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 9.93%EV -10.11%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.07%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 11:48
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -12.54%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 11:49
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -12.54%E -1.39%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -7.91%E -7.76%K -395.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 11:49
Pinnacle🎯8.37I 11.95%NM 11.71%EV -18.66%E -2.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.29%EV +0.213%E +0.192%K +1.94%G +0.004%2.0%2026-05-20 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎10.87I 9.20%NM 8.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.42%7.2%2026-05-20 11:49