La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Adam Walton v Daniil Medvedev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adam Walton (Local)
Predicción 7.52%13.31momio equitativo
EV +20.25%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.273%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.10%7.65%7.37%10.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5012.4412.5016.0011.76%8.04%8.00%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)
Predicción 92.48%1.08momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -57.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.10%92.35%92.63%93.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.30%97.09%95.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +20.25%E +1.27%K +1.35%G +0.273% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betway | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +8.98%E +0.619%K +0.665%G +0.060% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Pinnacle | 13.43I 7.45%NM 7.19%EV +0.937%E +0.070%K +0.075%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.81%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| TABtouch | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Casumo | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| BetRivers | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Bovada | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| betPARX | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| 888sport | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets | 12.79I 7.82%NM 7.39%EV -3.87%E -0.303%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.61%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -4.17%E -0.327%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Fliff | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.34%EV -4.17%E -0.327%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.66%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| Neds | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -8.91%E -0.735%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -8.91%E -0.735%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coolbet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| theScore Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coral | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| William Hill | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:05 |
| PlayUp | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 11.95I 8.37%NM 8.01%EV -10.19%E -0.852%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.99%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| 1xBet | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -12.07%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.57%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.57%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.45%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Fanatics | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.45%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.89%E -2.75%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| Everygame | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Betsson | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -24.84%E -2.48%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -36.12%E -4.25%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.81% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.19% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig | 15.15I 6.60%NM 6.37% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.63% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |