مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adam Walton v Daniil Medvedev

البداية: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adam Walton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 7.52%13.31السعر العادل
EV +20.25%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.273%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 16.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.10%7.65%7.37%10.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5012.4412.5016.0011.76%8.04%8.00%6.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Daniil Medvedev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 92.48%1.08السعر العادل
EV -2.89%
الأفضلية -2.75%
Kelly -57.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
89.10%92.35%92.63%93.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.30%97.09%95.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +20.25%E +1.27%K +1.35%G +0.273%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betway15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:10
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 09:10
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +12.74%E +0.849%K +0.910%G +0.116%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:58
Unibet (FR)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +8.98%E +0.619%K +0.665%G +0.060%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 09:08
Winamax (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Codere (IT)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Tipico (DE)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.22%E +0.373%K +0.402%G +0.021%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Pinnacle13.43I 7.45%NM 7.19%EV +0.937%E +0.070%K +0.075%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.81%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:10
TABtouch13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 08:59
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:04
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 08:58
Bovada13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:09
betPARX13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Hard Rock Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:08
888sport13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:09
Mr Green (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:09
888sport (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:09
NetBet (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 09:00
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -2.29%E -0.177%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets12.79I 7.82%NM 7.39%EV -3.87%E -0.303%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.61%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Marathon Bet12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -4.17%E -0.327%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Fliff12.75I 7.84%NM 7.34%EV -4.17%E -0.327%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.66%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 08:59
Unibet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Svenska Spel12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:05
Neds12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -6.05%E -0.484%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:05
BetOnline.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -8.91%E -0.735%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag12.12I 8.25%NM 7.83%EV -8.91%E -0.735%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.17%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Coolbet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:09
theScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:05
PlayUp12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.81%E -0.818%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
BetAnything11.95I 8.37%NM 8.01%EV -10.19%E -0.852%K -0.930%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.99%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 09:04
1xBet11.70I 8.55%NM 8.16%EV -12.07%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.84%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 08:59
Virgin Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.57%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Bally Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -13.57%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.45%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:04
Fanatics11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -15.45%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.89%E -2.75%K -57.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:07
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:04
Everygame11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 08:59
Betsson11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:09
NordicBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:09
LiveScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -17.33%E -1.58%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.67%E -5.56%K -283.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:10
BetMGM10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -21.08%E -2.01%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -6.59%E -6.53%K -659.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 09:10
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -24.84%E -2.48%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.74%E -4.60%K -158.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 09:09
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -36.12%E -4.25%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -3.82%E -3.67%K -95.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-26 09:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%1.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets17.01I 5.88%NM 5.81%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.19%1.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18%1.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig15.15I 6.60%NM 6.37%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.63%3.7%2026-05-26 09:10