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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Stan Wawrinka v Benjamin Hassan

开赛时间： 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Stan Wawrinka (主队)

预测 82.14%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.25%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -11.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
79.37%82.40%82.10%85.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.161.161.1990.09%86.42%86.21%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Benjamin Hassan (客队)

预测 17.86%5.60公平赔率
EV +16.09%
优势 +2.47%
Kelly +2.92%
增长率 +0.471%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.70%17.60%17.90%20.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.265.306.5022.22%19.00%18.87%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Stan Wawrinka (主队)：82.14%；Benjamin Hassan (客队)：17.86%。 对于“Benjamin Hassan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.60。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+16.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +16.09%E +2.47%K +2.92%G +0.471%4.7%2026-02-23 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.82%E -7.95%K -80.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.16%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%6.8%2026-02-23 12:45
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.747%G +0.027%5.0%2026-02-23 12:44
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.76%EV +1.08%E +0.192%K +0.233%G +0.003%5.4%2026-02-23 12:45
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.322%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.322%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -3.02%E -0.557%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -3.02%E -0.557%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 12:45
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.89%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.11%EV -3.92%E -0.728%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 12:44
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 12:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:45
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 12:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 12:45
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 12:44
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:45
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:44
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:44
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:45
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:44
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 12:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-23 12:45