L’École des cotes

Stan Wawrinka v Benjamin Hassan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stan Wawrinka (Local)

Prévision 82.14%1.22cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -11.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%82.40%82.10%85.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.161.161.1990.09%86.42%86.21%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Benjamin Hassan (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.86%5.60cote équitable
EV +16.09%
Avantage +2.47%
Kelly +2.92%
Croissance +0.471%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.70%17.60%17.90%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.265.306.5022.22%19.00%18.87%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -8.00%E -7.15%K -66.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +16.09%E +2.47%K +2.92%G +0.471%4.7%2026-02-23 12:45
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.82%E -7.95%K -80.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.16%E +1.19%K +1.43%G +0.102%6.8%2026-02-23 12:45
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +3.58%E +0.618%K +0.747%G +0.027%5.0%2026-02-23 12:44
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +2.69%E +0.468%K +0.567%G +0.015%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 83.24%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.76%EV +1.08%E +0.192%K +0.233%G +0.003%5.4%2026-02-23 12:45
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.322%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.77%E -0.322%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -3.02%E -0.557%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 12:45
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -3.02%E -0.557%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 12:45
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 81.89%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.11%EV -3.92%E -0.728%K -0.894%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
Grosvenor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:45
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.34%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 12:44
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-23 12:44
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-23 12:39
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:45
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.54%E -4.82%K -36.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 12:44
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.24%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-23 12:45
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 12:45
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 12:44
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:45
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:44
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 12:44
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.36%E -5.58%K -45.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.70%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.07%E -2.61%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 12:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:45
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.90%E -3.33%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 12:44
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.72%E -4.07%K -29.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -19.63%E -4.36%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 12:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-23 12:45