Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys v Alexander Shevchenko

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prediction 63.79%1.57fair odd

EV -2.40%

Edge -1.57%

Kelly -4.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%63.81%63.75%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.33%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Shevchenko (Visit)

Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd

EV -0.424%

Edge -0.154%

Kelly -0.242%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.52%36.19%36.25%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.592.602.7540.00%38.64%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 63.79%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visit): 36.21%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.424%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-02-22 07:29
LowVig.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.04%E -1.53%K -2.45%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-02-22 07:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -2.40%E -1.57%K -4.53%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -5.49%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-02-22 08:05
Bovada🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.68%E -2.43%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-22 07:09
GTbets🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.49%E -2.10%K -3.41%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-22 08:25
PlayUp🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.67%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-22 05:35
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.48%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-22 05:20
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.48%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-21 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.31%E -2.88%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.48%E -3.79%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-21 22:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.59%E -3.78%K -11.65%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 18:59
Fliff🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-02-22 07:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.23%E -4.24%K -13.25%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-02-21 19:00
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.424%E -0.154%K -0.242%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 18:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.86%E -2.25%K -3.66%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-02-22 07:09
Betsson🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.67%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-22 07:00
NordicBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.50%E -5.18%K -16.68%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.67%E -3.01%K -4.95%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-02-22 07:00
Marathon Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%EV -8.78%E -6.14%K -20.42%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%EV -6.58%E -2.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-02-22 08:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.