Language:English
Otto Virtanen v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Otto Virtanen (Local)
Prediction 41.41%2.41fair odd
EV +13.88%
Edge +5.05%
Kelly +7.93%
Growth +1.10%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%41.09%41.25%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.262.7547.62%43.63%44.15%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 58.59%1.71fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%58.91%58.75%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.601.601.6868.97%62.66%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Otto Virtanen (Local): 41.41%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 58.59%. For Otto Virtanen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +13.88%E +5.05%K +7.93%G +1.10% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -15.04%E -10.38%K -33.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +5.60%E +2.19%K +3.61%G +0.202% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -11.53%E -7.64%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.53%E +1.41%K +2.35%G +0.083% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +3.53%E +1.41%K +2.35%G +0.083% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.616%E -0.257%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.44%E -0.607%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -3.51%E -1.51%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.88%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -1.57%E -0.934%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.84%E -4.30%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -4.76%E -2.07%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -10.36%E -6.77%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.08%E -3.14%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.59%E -2.45%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.50%E -2.76%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.83%E -3.03%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.77%E -6.35%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -8.07%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -1.57%E -0.934%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.07%E -3.64%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -8.60%E -5.51%K -15.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-24 14:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -8.48%E -3.84%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.33%E -2.02%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.67%E -3.52%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.90%E -4.04%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.26%E -3.91%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -2.74%E -1.65%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 14:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.97%E -5.10%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.43%E -4.70%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -13.04%E -6.21%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -2.15%E -1.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 14:20 |