La scuola delle quote

Moez Echargui v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Inizio: 2026-02-23 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Moez Echargui (Casa)

Previsione 23.59%4.24quota equa
EV +3.31%
Vantaggio +0.756%
Kelly +0.980%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%23.59%23.56%25.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.044.004.3827.40%24.78%25.00%22.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Trasferta)

Previsione 76.41%1.31quota equa
EV -4.48%
Vantaggio -3.59%
Kelly -17.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.64%76.41%76.44%78.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.231.221.2583.33%81.41%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 22.20%EV +3.31%E +0.756%K +0.980%G +0.032%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.80%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-23 09:59
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +2.13%E +0.492%K +0.640%G +0.014%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.30%E -6.92%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 10:08
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +1.42%E +0.331%K +0.431%G +0.006%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-23 10:08
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +0.716%E +0.168%K +0.219%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -6.01%E -4.89%K -26.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 10:00
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +0.716%E +0.168%K +0.219%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -6.01%E -4.89%K -26.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-23 10:00
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +0.245%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.25%E -4.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-23 10:00
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.245%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 10:00
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +0.245%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.30%E -6.92%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 09:59
1xBet4.22I 23.70%NM 22.57%EV -0.463%E -0.110%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -6.01%E -4.89%K -26.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 10:07
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.11%E -0.509%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-23 10:00
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.47%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.25%E -4.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 10:05
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.67%EV -4.94%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.33%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 10:10
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 10:07
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:10
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:00
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:00
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:10
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:09
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.65%E -1.41%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.30%E -6.92%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-23 09:59
Fliff3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -6.83%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.30%E -6.92%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 10:10
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.01%E -2.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.25%E -4.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 10:00
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 10:10
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 10:00
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.55%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.78%E -5.55%K -30.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 10:06
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:09
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.48%E -3.59%K -17.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 10:09
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -13.91%E -3.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.25%E -4.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-23 10:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-02-23 10:10