Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jenson Brooksby v Karen Khachanov

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV +13.87%
Edge +3.96%
Kelly +5.55%
Growth +0.770%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%32.82%32.43%39.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.862.853.5040.00%34.94%35.09%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karen Khachanov (Visit)

Prediction 67.46%1.48fair odd
EV +7.94%
Edge +4.96%
Kelly +13.24%
Growth +1.05%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.98%67.18%67.57%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.401.6076.92%71.43%71.17%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 32.54%; Karen Khachanov (Visit): 67.46%. For Jenson Brooksby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -18.66%E -7.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV +7.94%E +4.96%K +13.24%G +1.05%2.5%2026-02-25 10:23
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.41%E -5.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -0.153%E -0.103%K -0.318%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 10:29
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.15%E -4.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.85%E -1.98%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:30
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:30
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:29
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 10:30
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.53%E -2.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.20%E -2.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.20%E -2.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 10:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.20%E -2.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 10:30
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -15.41%E -5.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -4.20%E -2.96%K -10.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.88%E -3.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 10:30
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 10:30
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.55%E -3.96%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 10:29
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.53%E -3.83%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.90%E -5.00%K -18.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 10:30
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.57%E -5.53%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 10:29
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.65%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.57%E -5.53%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.90%E -3.18%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -7.57%E -5.53%K -20.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 10:29
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 10:30
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 10:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.39%E -0.798%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.02%E -1.36%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 10:30
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.30%E -2.19%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 10:29
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -6.62%E -2.31%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-25 10:30
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.25%E -6.06%K -22.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -7.27%E -2.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -10.27%E -7.72%K -31.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 10:29
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +13.87%E +3.96%K +5.55%G +0.770%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -12.30%E -9.46%K -40.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.7%2026-02-25 10:30