Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Previsão 69.63%1.44odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.80%
Kelly -6.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%69.54%69.51%71.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.361.361.4076.34%73.71%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 30.37%3.29odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.701%
Kelly +0.997%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.90%30.46%30.49%32.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.143.173.3734.48%31.88%31.55%29.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andrey Rublev (Local): 69.63%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 30.37%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.37, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%EV +2.36%E +0.701%K +0.997%G +0.024%2.7%2026-02-27 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:49
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:49
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -8.79%E -6.71%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -2.19%E -0.681%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:49
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.50%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 14:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 06:34
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 08:15
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 14:49
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.11%E -0.974%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -3.71%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 12:00
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:09
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:44
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 11:59
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 05:19
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 13:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-27 13:50