L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Tallon Griekspoor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 69.63%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -6.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.76%69.54%69.51%71.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.361.361.4076.34%73.71%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.701%
Kelly +0.997%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.90%30.46%30.49%32.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.173.3734.48%31.88%31.55%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%EV +2.36%E +0.701%K +0.997%G +0.024%2.7%2026-02-27 14:45
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:49
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 14:49
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 14:44
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -8.79%E -6.71%K -28.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -2.19%E -0.681%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:49
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.50%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-27 06:34
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 13:18
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:44
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 08:15
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 14:44
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.80%E -0.876%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 14:49
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.11%E -0.974%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 14:49
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.41%E -1.07%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 14:49
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV -4.61%E -3.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -3.71%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-27 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 14:44
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 14:45
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-27 14:44
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 12:00
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 11:59
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:35
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 14:44
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 05:28
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:10
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 23:09
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 14:49
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 14:44
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 11:59
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.70%E -5.00%K -19.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 12:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.52%E -1.80%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:29
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.01%E -4.45%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 05:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.40%E -5.56%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 14:44
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.92%E -2.84%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 05:19
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.31%E -3.90%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 13:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-02-27 13:50