語言:繁體中文
Tomas Machac v Pablo Carreno Busta
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Tomas Machac (主隊)
預測 48.15%2.08公平賠率
EV -1.78%
優勢 -0.871%
Kelly -1.71%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 2.04
博彩公司預測分布
47.37%48.34%48.12%51.32%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.831.941.952.0454.64%51.64%51.28%49.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊)
預測 51.85%1.93公平賠率
EV +1.11%
優勢 +0.570%
Kelly +1.17%
成長率 +0.013%
假設最高賠率為 1.95
博彩公司預測分布
48.68%51.66%51.88%52.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.801.851.841.9555.56%53.91%54.35%51.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Tomas Machac (主隊)：48.15%；Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊)：51.85%。 對於「Pablo Carreno Busta (客隊)」，該估計相當於1.93的公平十進位賠率。 當時有14家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為1.95，對應+1.11%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (62 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 ▼ | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +1.11%E +0.570%K +1.17%G +0.013% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.11%E +0.570%K +1.17%G +0.013% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +0.592%E +0.305%K +0.630%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV +0.592%E +0.305%K +0.630%G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -9.96%E -5.33%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV +0.074%E +0.038%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.52%E -4.48%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -0.963%E -0.504%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.48%E -0.780%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -11.89%E -6.50%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -2.00%E -1.06%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.59%E -3.40%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.07%E -3.67%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.56%E -3.94%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -2.52%E -1.34%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -2.74%E -1.36%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -3.04%E -1.62%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.56%E -1.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.56%E -1.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -1.78%E -0.871%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.93%E -5.91%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.20%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.18%E -2.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.18%E -2.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.59%E -2.50%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 15:43 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.15%E -2.61%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.67%E -2.36%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.63%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.11%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 16:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.04%E -4.21%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 15:44 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |