Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Titouan Droguet v Matteo Berrettini

Início: 2026-08-14 16:43 UTC

Final: Titouan Droguet 1–2 Matteo Berrettini

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Titouan Droguet (Local)

Previsão 45.08%2.22odd justa
EV +1.43%
Vantagem +0.635%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.86%44.88%45.15%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.57%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)

Previsão 54.92%1.82odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.12%54.85%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.14%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Titouan Droguet (Local): 45.08%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 54.92%. Para Titouan Droguet (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.22. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.43%E +0.635%K +1.14%G +0.016%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 10:19
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -1.28%E -0.583%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 09:04
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.18%E -1.00%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:40
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.08%E -1.43%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:39
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.08%E -1.43%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 15:05
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:03
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:30
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:05
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:39
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:14
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:29
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 09:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 09:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 16:34
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 09:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 12:14
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 14:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 14:29
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:35
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 09:44
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 09:44
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 11:14
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:39
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 15:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-14 16:40
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-08-14 16:40
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-08-14 16:40
ProphetX◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-08-14 16:40