Idioma:Español
Titouan Droguet v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Titouan Droguet (Local)
Predicción 45.08%2.22momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.635%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%44.88%45.15%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.57%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 54.92%1.82momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.12%54.85%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.7861.73%58.14%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Titouan Droguet (Local): 45.08%; Matteo Berrettini (Visitante): 54.92%. Para Titouan Droguet (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.22. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.43%E +0.635%K +1.14%G +0.016% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 10:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -1.28%E -0.583%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.18%E -1.00%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.63%E -1.22%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.08%E -1.43%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.08%E -1.43%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.53%E -1.65%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -7.18%E -4.25%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.43%E -2.09%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.34%E -1.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.89%E -2.22%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.99%E -2.88%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.33%E -2.54%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 09:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.23%E -3.00%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.73%E -4.60%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 12:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.64%E -3.90%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.59%E -3.70%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.28%E -4.96%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.84%E -4.92%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.79%E -1.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 15:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |