语言:简体中文
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jan Choinski
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)
预测 65.24%1.53公平赔率
EV -2.14%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -4.28%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.50
博彩公司预测分布
63.41%65.08%65.19%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.451.441.5070.92%68.76%69.20%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jan Choinski (客队)
预测 34.76%2.88公平赔率
EV -0.585%
优势 -0.204%
Kelly -0.314%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.86
博彩公司预测分布
33.33%34.92%34.81%36.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.742.792.8638.46%36.43%35.84%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)：65.24%；Jan Choinski (客队)：34.76%。 对于“Jan Choinski (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.88。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.86，期望值为-0.585%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -3.71%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.585%E -0.204%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-13 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -1.98%E -0.700%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -1.98%E -0.700%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.75%E -3.25%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.75%E -3.25%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.88%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 14:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.88%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.585%E -0.204%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.01%E -5.68%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.01%E -5.68%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 18:10 |