Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jan Choinski

Inizio: 2026-08-13 18:15 UTC

Finale: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–1 Jan Choinski

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 65.24%1.53quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.41%65.08%65.19%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.451.441.5070.92%68.76%69.20%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jan Choinski (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.76%2.88quota equa
EV -0.585%
Vantaggio -0.204%
Kelly -0.314%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.33%34.92%34.81%36.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.742.792.8638.46%36.43%35.84%34.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa): 65.24%; Jan Choinski (Trasferta): 34.76%. Per Jan Choinski (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.88. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.86, con un valore atteso del -0.585%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -3.71%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-12 23:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 13:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.14%E -1.43%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.79%E -1.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 17:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.585%E -0.204%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 13:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.45%E -2.33%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -1.98%E -0.700%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -1.98%E -0.700%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-13 14:24
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.10%E -2.79%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 23:30
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.75%E -3.25%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.75%E -3.25%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.88%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 18:09
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 17:29
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:24
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.40%E -3.73%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 14:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 14:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 14:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.06%E -4.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.88%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.585%E -0.204%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 13:24
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:38
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.71%E -4.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -8.01%E -5.68%K -19.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -3.37%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 07:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -8.01%E -5.68%K -19.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-13 14:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-08-13 18:10