Language:English
Taylor Fritz v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 62.33%1.60fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.90%62.33%62.32%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5867.11%65.24%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 37.67%2.65fair odd
EV -0.176%
Edge -0.066%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.67%37.68%39.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.6541.67%40.03%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 62.33%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 37.67%. For Brandon Nakashima (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.655. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.650, with an expected value of -0.176%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -1.52%E -0.961%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.14%E -1.36%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.81%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-21 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.76%E -1.77%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.46%E -3.48%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 17:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.01%E -2.60%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.176%E -0.066%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.176%E -0.066%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 10:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 09:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.32%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 10:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.07%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 07:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 07:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 05:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 05:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.58%E -2.65%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 06:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.63%E -3.03%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 07:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 08:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 11:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.06%E -0.792%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.94%E -1.55%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 06:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 05:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-20 05:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 17:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 06:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.59%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 06:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.94%EV -7.13%E -4.78%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 18:50 |