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Sho Shimabukuro v Hugo Dellien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sho Shimabukuro (Local)
assuming max odds 1.61
Hugo Dellien (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sho Shimabukuro (Local): 68.61%; Hugo Dellien (Visit): 31.39%. For Hugo Dellien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +56.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -20.41%E -17.59%K -127.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +56.93%E +11.39%K +14.23%G +8.10% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 02:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -17.66%E -14.72%K -88.31%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +51.59%E +10.68%K +13.47%G +6.95% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 02:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -17.66%E -14.72%K -88.31%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +51.59%E +10.68%K +13.47%G +6.95% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 02:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -19.04%E -16.13%K -105.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +49.08%E +10.33%K +13.09%G +6.42% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -20.41%E -17.59%K -127.55%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV +39.67%E +8.91%K +11.50%G +4.56% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -11.49%E -8.91%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.67%EV +23.66%E +6.00%K +8.05%G +1.90% | 2.9% | 2026-08-12 02:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -18.40%E -7.08%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 02:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.54%E -8.61%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.54%E -8.61%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV +4.98%E +3.25%K +9.40%G +0.468% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -23.11%E -9.43%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -26.24%E -11.17%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV +2.92%E +1.95%K +5.84%G +0.171% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -26.24%E -11.17%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +10.47%E +6.50%K +17.16%G +1.80% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -30.95%E -14.07%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV +10.47%E +6.50%K +17.16%G +1.80% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -30.95%E -14.07%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 02:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 02:50 |