Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys v Bu Yunchaokete

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.00%57.99%57.59%59.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.621.6964.94%61.43%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bu Yunchaokete (Visit)

Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.31%42.01%42.41%43.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.242.252.3145.45%44.60%44.54%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 57.85%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visit): 42.15%. For Quentin Halys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -2.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.59%E -2.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 01:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 01:19
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.55%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.27%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 01:25
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 06:34
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.64%E -1.14%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 10:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.27%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 09:29
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 08:10
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.27%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 08:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.02%E -5.04%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -8.02%E -5.04%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -6.01%E -2.69%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -10.91%E -7.08%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -3.90%E -1.71%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-13 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-08-13 02:00