Language:English
Nuno Borges v Brandon Nakashima
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nuno Borges (Local)
Prediction 39.65%2.52fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%39.65%39.70%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.4944.44%41.89%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brandon Nakashima (Visit)
Prediction 60.35%1.66fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.35%60.30%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.66%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nuno Borges (Local): 39.65%; Brandon Nakashima (Visit): 60.35%. For Nuno Borges (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.49, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.27%E -0.512%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.44%E -2.15%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-19 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -1.67%E -0.674%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.83%E -1.76%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.44%E -2.15%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-19 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.86%E -1.17%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.76%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.50%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -2.83%E -1.76%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.05%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.05%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.05%E -1.67%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.04%E -2.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 21:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.85%E -3.75%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 09:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.84%E -2.02%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 21:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.64%E -2.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.06%E -4.58%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.46%E -4.17%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.82%E -2.90%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.27%E -5.44%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 03:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.83%E -1.76%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.65%E -2.94%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.81%E -3.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.66%E -5.01%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.79%E -4.80%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.25%E -3.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |