Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 1.54
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local): 36.90%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 63.10%. For Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.47%E +0.535%K +0.840%G +0.012% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.374%E -0.139%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.50%E -5.86%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 02:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -0.743%E -0.276%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.22%E -0.837%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 10:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.69%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.69%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.82%E -1.83%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.13%E -6.34%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-12 13:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.06%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -10.40%E -7.32%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-12 18:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -5.54%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 08:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.61%E -4.47%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 08:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.75%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.24%E -4.93%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 15:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-13 02:05 |