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Marton Fucsovics v Terence Atmane
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marton Fucsovics (Local)
Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +0.873%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.51%34.30%34.37%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9938.46%36.33%36.36%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Terence Atmane (Visit)
Prediction 65.68%1.52fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.70%65.63%67.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.47%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marton Fucsovics (Local): 34.32%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 65.68%. For Marton Fucsovics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%EV +2.61%E +0.873%K +1.31%G +0.034% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +1.24%E +0.420%K +0.635%G +0.008% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -0.821%E -0.284%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -3.45%E -2.35%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 22:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.85%E -0.647%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.85%E -0.647%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.19%E -0.770%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 20:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -6.65%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-13 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.48%E -0.985%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 22:44 |