Lingua:Italiano
Mariano Navone v Raphael Collignon
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mariano Navone (Casa)
Previsione 43.16%2.32quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.511%
Kelly -0.908%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.71%43.30%43.15%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.2947.62%45.70%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Trasferta)
Previsione 56.84%1.76quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.960%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.70%56.85%58.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.681.691.7362.11%59.43%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mariano Navone (Casa): 43.16%; Raphael Collignon (Trasferta): 56.84%. Per Mariano Navone (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.32. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.29, con un valore atteso del -1.17%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.17%E -0.511%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.93%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 19:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.80%E -1.64%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.48%E -5.27%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 20:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.66%E -0.960%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.93%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.93%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-13 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 04:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 19:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 20:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.50%E -2.68%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.93%E -2.33%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 15:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.960%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 20:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 20:50 |