默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kyrian Jacquet v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 15:03 UTC

最终结果: Kyrian Jacquet 0–2 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kyrian Jacquet (主队)

预测 66.66%1.50公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -1.83%
Kelly -5.81%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
65.48%66.64%66.67%67.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.22%69.93%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队)

预测 33.34%3.00公平赔率
EV +0.345%
优势 +0.115%
Kelly +0.172%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.01

博彩公司预测分布
32.36%33.36%33.33%34.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.832.853.0137.04%35.30%35.09%33.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kyrian Jacquet (主队):66.66%;Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队):33.34%。 对于“Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.00。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.01,对应+0.345%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +0.345%E +0.115%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-14 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.32%E -0.792%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.909%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.909%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 14:49
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:40
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:00
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 13:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.67%E -6.33%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.34%E -5.28%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:30
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.66%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 12:14
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:52
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:54
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 14:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-14 14:45
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-08-14 15:00