Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kyrian Jacquet v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Inizio: 2026-08-14 15:03 UTC

Finale: Kyrian Jacquet 0–2 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kyrian Jacquet (Casa)

Previsione 66.66%1.50quota equa
EV -2.67%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -5.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.48%66.64%66.67%67.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.22%69.93%68.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.34%3.00quota equa
EV +0.345%
Vantaggio +0.115%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.36%33.36%33.33%34.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.832.853.0137.04%35.30%35.09%33.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Kyrian Jacquet (Casa): 66.66%; Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Trasferta): 33.34%. Per Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.00. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.01, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.345%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV +0.345%E +0.115%K +0.172%G +0.001%2.7%2026-08-14 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +0.012%E +0.004%K +0.006%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.32%E -0.792%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.909%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.66%E -0.909%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 14:49
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.32%E -1.15%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.32%E -1.51%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 14:40
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.66%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 15:00
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 13:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.01%E -4.26%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.67%E -6.33%K -23.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.99%E -1.75%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:59
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.34%E -5.28%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -5.32%E -1.87%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 13:30
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:39
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.66%E -2.38%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.67%E -1.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -7.66%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.34%E -2.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.01%E -2.78%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:29
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.67%E -3.27%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:50
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 12:14
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:52
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.32%E -3.03%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 14:54
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.76%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 14:40
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.67%E -4.77%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.99%E -3.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 14:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-14 15:00
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-14 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-08-14 14:45
Novig◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.5%2026-08-14 15:00