The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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JJ Wolf v Toby Samuel

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 21:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

JJ Wolf (Local)

Prediction 42.24%2.37fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.38%42.24%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.252.3046.51%44.72%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toby Samuel (Visit)

Prediction 57.76%1.73fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%57.62%57.76%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.631.6762.89%61.32%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JJ Wolf (Local): 42.24%; Toby Samuel (Visit): 57.76%. For JJ Wolf (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -2.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.54%E -2.12%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 15:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.85%E -1.24%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 15:10
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.27%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 11:14
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 15:10
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.96%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.69%E -2.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 11:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.96%E -2.21%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.85%E -3.59%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 11:04
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.07%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 15:14
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.07%E -3.22%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 15:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.92%E -3.63%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 15:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.92%E -3.63%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 14:43
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.19%E -4.27%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.69%E -2.85%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-08-11 16:35