The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jaime Faria v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Kickoff: 2026-08-11 23:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 65.61%1.52fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%65.51%65.63%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.44%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV +0.406%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.49%34.37%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.742.752.9238.17%36.49%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 65.61%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 34.39%. For Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.406%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.86%E -3.35%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV +0.406%E +0.139%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.2%2026-08-11 20:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.55%E -2.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.69%E -0.950%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 19:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.55%E -2.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.69%E -0.950%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-11 19:24
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.55%E -2.41%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 20:50
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.52%E -3.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.83%E -4.81%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 12:10
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.83%E -4.81%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 12:09
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.86%E -3.35%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 20:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.52%E -3.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.52%E -3.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-11 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.14%E -5.81%K -20.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-11 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.19%EV -7.48%E -5.31%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.81%EV -9.22%E -3.49%K -5.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:08
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.52%E -3.83%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-08-11 23:10