The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hugo Gaston v Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 00:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hugo Gaston (Local)

Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.80%52.39%51.74%55.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.77%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit)

Prediction 48.15%2.08fair odd
EV +4.97%
Edge +2.28%
Kelly +4.21%
Growth +0.210%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.10%47.61%48.26%49.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.001.952.1853.48%50.10%51.28%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Gaston (Local): 51.85%; Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit): 48.15%. For Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.97%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -10.82%E -6.29%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +4.97%E +2.28%K +4.21%G +0.210%4.0%2026-08-12 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -10.82%E -6.29%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +4.97%E +2.28%K +4.21%G +0.210%4.0%2026-08-12 00:20
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -7.19%E -4.02%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV +3.53%E +1.64%K +3.07%G +0.108%2.4%2026-08-12 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.82%E -6.29%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +1.12%E +0.534%K +1.02%G +0.011%5.8%2026-08-12 00:37
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -2.25%E -1.11%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 00:45
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 00:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 00:44
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 00:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 00:49
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 00:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 00:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.27%E -5.30%K -12.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.51%E -4.48%K -9.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 00:48
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -9.95%E -5.32%K -11.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-12 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.8%2026-08-12 00:50