Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard v Trevor Svajda

2026-08-11 16:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)

Prediction 60.80%1.64fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%60.77%60.68%69.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.541.551.6172.46%64.83%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trevor Svajda (Visit)

Prediction 39.20%2.55fair odd
EV +20.74%
Edge +6.73%
Kelly +9.97%
Growth +2.07%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.94%39.23%39.32%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.403.0843.48%40.65%41.67%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local): 60.80%; Trevor Svajda (Visit): 39.20%. For Trevor Svajda (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.08, producing a positive expected value of +20.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -16.10%E -11.67%K -42.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV +20.74%E +6.73%K +9.97%G +2.07%4.9%2026-08-11 10:15
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -5.16%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.39%E -0.959%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 10:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.12%E -1.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 10:14
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.80%E -5.87%K -17.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.96%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.16%E -3.30%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 10:14
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 11:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.92%E -2.46%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 11:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.76%E -3.72%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.09%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 10:14
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.59%E -4.99%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -7.48%E -3.17%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 10:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.55%E -2.90%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.84%E -4.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-08-11 13:15
Arbitrage (11 combinations) +5.73%BetOnline.ag 1.61 (65.7%) / GTbets 3.08 (34.3%)Show all 11 combinations
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Local)Trevor Svajda (Visit)Margin
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.61 (65.7%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (34.3%)+5.73%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.61 (65.7%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (34.3%)+5.73%
BoyleSports🎯 1.57 (66.2%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.8%)+3.99%
Pinnacle🎯 1.56 (66.4%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.6%)+3.55%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.56 (66.4%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.6%)+3.55%
PlayUp🎯 1.55 (66.5%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.5%)+3.11%
Betway🎯 1.55 (66.5%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.5%)+3.11%
Coral🎯 1.55 (66.5%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.5%)+3.11%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.55 (66.5%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.5%)+3.11%
NordicBet🎯 1.52 (67.0%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (33.0%)+1.77%
theScore Bet🎯 1.50 (67.2%)GTbets🎯 3.08 (32.8%)+0.873%

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.