Language:English
Corentin Moutet v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corentin Moutet (Local)
Prediction 35.24%2.84fair odd
EV +0.779%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.419%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.25%35.09%37.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.772.8640.00%36.64%36.10%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 64.76%1.54fair odd
EV -0.913%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.95%64.75%64.91%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.441.5370.92%68.87%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corentin Moutet (Local): 35.24%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 64.76%. For Corentin Moutet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.779%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV +0.779%E +0.273%K +0.419%G +0.003% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-12 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.33%E -0.477%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.39%E -5.17%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -2.04%E -0.734%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.39%E -0.864%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.39%E -0.864%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.50%E -2.35%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -8.04%E -5.66%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.68%E -6.16%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.21%E -1.46%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.86%E -1.80%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.62%E -2.50%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.33%E -2.79%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -8.03%E -3.08%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -0.913%E -0.597%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.86%E -1.90%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.38%E -3.22%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.15%E -2.81%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 18:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -9.09%E -3.52%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -6.09%E -4.20%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.74%E -4.68%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-12 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 23:50 |