Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Christopher O'Connell v Dane Sweeny

2026-08-11 14:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Christopher O'Connell (Local)

Prediction 62.46%1.60fair odd

EV -1.93%

Edge -1.23%

Kelly -3.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.25%62.44%62.50%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.511.501.5767.57%66.12%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dane Sweeny (Visit)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd

EV -1.65%

Edge -0.630%

Kelly -1.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.59%37.56%37.50%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.492.462.6242.02%40.11%40.65%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Christopher O'Connell (Local): 62.46%; Dane Sweeny (Visit): 37.54%. For Dane Sweeny (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.62, with an expected value of -1.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-11 10:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.65%E -0.630%K -1.02%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-11 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.65%E -0.630%K -1.02%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-11 12:35
Pinnacle🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-11 12:55
PlayUp🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 12:49
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 12:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-11 12:30
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-11 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-11 10:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-11 10:14
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-11 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-11 12:15
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -7.66%E -3.11%K -5.24%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-11 12:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%	1.2%	2026-08-11 13:15

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