Idioma:Português
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Miomir Kecmanovic
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Previsão 27.04%3.70odd justa
EV +3.27%
Vantagem +0.857%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescimento +0.038%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.39%26.99%27.08%29.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.383.8231.25%29.26%29.59%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)
Previsão 72.96%1.37odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.80%73.01%72.92%74.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.311.311.3577.52%76.05%76.05%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local): 27.04%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante): 72.96%. Para Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.27%.
Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.39%EV +3.27%E +0.857%K +1.16%G +0.038% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.61%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.38%E +0.368%K +0.502%G +0.007% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +1.11%E +0.297%K +0.406%G +0.005% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV +1.11%E +0.297%K +0.406%G +0.005% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -3.21%E -0.898%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 17:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%EV -1.50%E -1.11%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 17:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 09:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-13 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -10.24%E -3.09%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.14%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.49%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 13:24 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (1)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 18:10 |