Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 2.78
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 64.22%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 35.78%. For Dino Prizmic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.78, with an expected value of -0.518%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -2.39%E -1.57%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -1.23%E -0.447%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -3.04%E -2.01%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -1.95%E -0.711%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-13 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -0.518%E -0.186%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-13 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -3.68%E -2.45%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -11.61%E -4.70%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -4.32%E -2.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -0.876%E -0.316%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 15:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV -5.53%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.96%E -3.35%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.60%E -3.81%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.25%E -4.28%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.59%E -0.579%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-13 15:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.89%E -4.75%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.17%E -5.72%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.89%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-13 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.38%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-13 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -10.10%E -7.21%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.