Language:English
Botic van de Zandschulp v Alexander Shevchenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 64.25%1.56fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%64.34%64.24%66.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.471.481.5174.07%68.11%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Shevchenko (Visit)
Prediction 35.75%2.80fair odd
EV -0.980%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.554%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.75%35.66%35.76%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.652.7740.82%37.89%37.74%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 64.25%; Alexander Shevchenko (Visit): 35.75%. For Alexander Shevchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -0.980%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -2.98%E -1.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.70%E -0.616%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.70%E -0.616%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.91%E -3.31%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -8.84%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.55%E -3.77%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.980%E -0.354%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -4.20%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.34%E -2.42%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 18:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.06%E -2.71%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.48%E -5.19%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.63%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -8.12%E -5.68%K -18.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -12.42%E -5.07%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.05%E -7.18%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.48%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.25%EV -13.26%E -9.82%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.75%EV -5.27%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 18:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
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