StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fery v James Duckworth

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 21:25 UTC

Slutresultat: Arthur Fery 2–1 James Duckworth

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Arthur Fery (Hemma)

Prognos 51.77%1.93rättvist odds
EV +0.435%
Fördel +0.224%
Kelly +0.462%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.52%51.71%51.71%54.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.741.841.831.9457.47%54.31%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

James Duckworth (Borta)

Prognos 48.23%2.07rättvist odds
EV -0.165%
Fördel -0.080%
Kelly -0.154%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.07

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.67%48.29%48.29%51.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.951.972.0755.56%51.27%50.76%48.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Arthur Fery (Hemma): 51.77%; James Duckworth (Borta): 48.23%. För Arthur Fery (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.93. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.94, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.435%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.435%E +0.224%K +0.462%G +0.002%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:04
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.601%E -0.313%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:39
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.74%E -6.42%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.19%E -7.33%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.19%E -7.33%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 21:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:00
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.78%E -5.82%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.78%E -5.82%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:13
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:14
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.02%E -2.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:10
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:24
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:14
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 12:17
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:22
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.37%E -4.73%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.37%E -4.73%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:22
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -9.92%E -5.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -0.165%E -0.080%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.92%E -5.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-08-15 21:20
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-15 21:20