Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Fery v James Duckworth

Inizio: 2026-08-15 21:25 UTC

Finale: Arthur Fery 2–1 James Duckworth

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arthur Fery (Casa)

Previsione 51.77%1.93quota equa
EV +0.435%
Vantaggio +0.224%
Kelly +0.462%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.52%51.71%51.71%54.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.841.831.9457.47%54.31%54.64%51.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

James Duckworth (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.23%2.07quota equa
EV -0.165%
Vantaggio -0.080%
Kelly -0.154%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.67%48.29%48.29%51.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.951.972.0755.56%51.27%50.76%48.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arthur Fery (Casa): 51.77%; James Duckworth (Trasferta): 48.23%. Per Arthur Fery (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.93. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.94, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.435%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV +0.435%E +0.224%K +0.462%G +0.002%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:04
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -0.601%E -0.313%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:39
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -11.74%E -6.42%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.19%E -7.33%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.12%E -0.586%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.19%E -7.33%K -16.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 21:04
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 21:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -1.64%E -0.861%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 15:54
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.19%E -1.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.71%E -1.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.43%E -3.32%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 21:24
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:21
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:00
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:24
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 12:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.78%E -5.82%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.22%E -2.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.78%E -5.82%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 19:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -4.74%E -2.58%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 21:13
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.06%E -1.52%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-15 16:14
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 21:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.02%E -2.02%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.51%E -2.28%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:14
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.99%E -2.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:15
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.87%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:10
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.58%E -1.28%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 21:19
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.78%E -3.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.30%E -3.48%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 21:24
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:14
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 19:09
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 12:17
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 20:22
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.81%E -3.79%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.37%E -4.73%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 19:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.37%E -4.73%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 21:22
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.40%E -5.37%K -12.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -9.92%E -5.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -0.165%E -0.080%K -0.154%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.92%E -5.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 21:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:05
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-15 21:15
ProphetX◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-08-15 21:20
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-15 21:20