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Alexander Shevchenko v Christopher O'Connell

2026-08-12 15:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prediction 51.51%1.94fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%51.56%51.32%52.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.30%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visit)

Prediction 48.49%2.06fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.768%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.14%48.44%48.68%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0353.76%51.24%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 51.51%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 48.49%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.03, with an expected value of -1.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.71%E -2.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.74%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -1.56%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:20
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.01%E -1.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 11:24
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -9.80%E -5.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.56%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.77%E -3.74%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.56%E -0.768%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 11:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.86%E -5.64%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 14:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.86%E -5.64%K -13.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-08-12 14:10

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