Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Darwin Blanch

2026-08-11 20:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 57.79%1.73fair odd

EV -2.33%

Edge -1.38%

Kelly -3.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.14%57.86%57.79%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.601.641.631.6962.50%60.87%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Darwin Blanch (Visit)

Prediction 42.21%2.37fair odd

EV -2.92%

Edge -1.27%

Kelly -2.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.03%42.14%42.21%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.222.202.3046.51%44.97%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 57.79%; Darwin Blanch (Visit): 42.21%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -2.33%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.33%E -1.38%K -3.38%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -8.41%E -3.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.77%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-11 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.77%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-11 12:25
PlayUp🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.91%E -1.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.26%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-11 12:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.64%E -2.81%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.77%E -1.65%K -2.94%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-11 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.80%E -3.56%K -9.20%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.03%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 12:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-11 12:24
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.38%E -3.94%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.26%E -4.30%K -8.05%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-11 12:25
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.95%E -4.32%K -11.40%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.14%E -3.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 11:20
Betway🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.53%E -4.71%K -12.55%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.92%E -1.27%K -2.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-11 12:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%	1.5%	2026-08-11 13:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.