The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Aleksandar Vukic v Darwin Blanch

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 61.14%1.64fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.11%61.13%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.25%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Darwin Blanch (Visit)

Prediction 38.86%2.57fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.89%38.87%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.452.5143.48%41.27%40.82%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 61.14%; Darwin Blanch (Visit): 38.86%. For Darwin Blanch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.51, with an expected value of -2.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.39%E -2.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.47%E -0.985%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.39%E -2.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.47%E -0.985%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 18:54
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -3.39%E -2.15%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -4.42%E -1.79%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 19:50
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.61%E -2.96%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 21:05
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.23%E -3.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.45%E -4.22%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.45%E -4.22%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 22:14
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.67%E -5.08%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 22:41
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 22:34
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.75%E -2.81%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.12%E -6.88%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%4.9%2026-08-12 22:44