Language:English
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Karen Khachanov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Prediction 31.95%3.13fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.305%
Kelly -0.450%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.99%31.96%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.1036.36%33.80%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karen Khachanov (Visit)
Prediction 68.05%1.47fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.01%68.04%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4475.76%71.54%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 31.95%; Karen Khachanov (Visit): 68.05%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.945%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.945%E -0.305%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -0.945%E -0.305%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -0.945%E -0.305%K -0.450%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -10.18%E -7.71%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -1.58%E -0.514%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-15 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.90%E -0.620%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.90%E -0.620%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -1.90%E -0.620%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-15 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.54%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.42%E -3.90%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.50%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.01%E -1.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.14%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.14%E -6.03%K -23.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.78%E -1.60%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 00:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 13:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.05%E -2.88%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.06%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -7.66%E -2.65%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 00:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.01%E -1.40%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 06:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.97%E -2.77%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.46%E -5.48%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -2.89%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.29%E -2.89%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.73%E -3.38%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 12:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.93%E -3.13%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.10%E -4.42%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.37%E -2.38%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 00:20 |