Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 37.56%2.66fair odd
EV -0.468%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.283%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%37.50%37.50%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.502.6542.55%40.02%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 62.44%1.60fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.50%62.50%64.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.07%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 37.56%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 62.44%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.468%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.468%E -0.176%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -1.59%E -0.609%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -8.21%E -5.59%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 09:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.97%E -0.755%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.35%E -0.902%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.35%E -0.902%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.72%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-01 07:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.10%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.59%E -1.66%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.47%E -1.35%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 09:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.22%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.46%E -6.52%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-01 09:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -4.60%E -1.81%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 09:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.97%E -1.97%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.35%E -2.12%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 09:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.09%E -3.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.10%E -2.44%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.85%E -2.76%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.84%E -2.49%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 05:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.71%E -3.78%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.98%E -3.26%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.47%E -2.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 08:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.34%E -4.23%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 08:32 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.86%E -4.11%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.46%E -6.52%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.74%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.74%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.22%E -2.08%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 07:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.74%E -4.99%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.59%E -5.13%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.7% | 2026-10-01 09:00 |