Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tallon Griekspoor v Andrey Rublev

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.88%34.68%34.58%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.562.682.652.8139.06%37.25%37.74%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Visit)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.32%65.42%66.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.4871.43%68.82%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 34.62%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 65.38%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.81, with an expected value of -2.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -2.73%E -0.970%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.20%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.46%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 17:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 18:50
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:55
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.20%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 17:53
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:55
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.05%K -21.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-28 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.05%K -21.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-28 17:56
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-28 17:54
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-28 17:55
ReBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.52%EV -11.38%E -4.45%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.48%EV -7.81%E -5.54%K -19.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-28 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%10.3%2026-09-28 17:55