The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Roman Safiullin v Flavio Cobolli

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Roman Safiullin (Local)

Prediction 46.55%2.15fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.57%46.38%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.032.052.0651.55%49.26%48.78%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visit)

Prediction 53.45%1.87fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.43%53.62%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.761.761.8158.14%56.66%56.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Roman Safiullin (Local): 46.55%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 53.45%. For Flavio Cobolli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.81, with an expected value of -3.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 17:55
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:54
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.10%E -1.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.93%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 17:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.57%E -2.23%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.00%E -4.02%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-28 17:54
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.26%E -1.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 17:55
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 18:30
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.43%E -3.20%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 17:53
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.79%E -2.11%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.86%E -2.73%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 17:55
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.90%E -3.45%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.54%E -4.36%K -10.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-28 17:56
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.99%EV -9.69%E -4.99%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.01%EV -8.07%E -4.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%9.2%2026-09-28 19:30