Language:English
Learner Tien v Hubert Hurkacz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 60.89%1.64fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%61.02%60.87%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.561.6168.03%64.59%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)
Prediction 39.11%2.56fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.20%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%38.98%39.13%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.432.432.6543.86%41.23%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 60.89%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 39.11%. For Hubert Hurkacz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -8.66%E -5.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +3.64%E +1.37%K +2.20%G +0.080% | 4.4% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.23%E -4.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.274%E -0.108%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.06%E -0.418%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.79%E -2.40%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -1.45%E -0.574%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.49%E -7.14%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.23%E -0.892%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -1.96%E -1.22%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-29 17:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.01%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.79%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.23%E -4.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.79%E -1.54%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.79%E -2.40%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.23%E -4.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.18%E -2.00%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -4.58%E -1.88%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.97%E -2.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.79%E -2.40%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.44%E -4.90%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 00:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.01%E -3.21%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 11:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.88%E -6.68%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 10:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 10:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 10:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.84%E -4.47%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.31%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.31%E -3.09%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.80%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.62%E -3.62%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 10:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.23%E -4.04%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.44%E -4.90%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 10:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.66%E -5.77%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -9.27%E -4.00%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -9.88%E -6.68%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -10.83%E -4.75%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-01 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |