Language:English
Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Bu Yunchaokete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)
Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.683%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%39.99%39.70%41.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.352.5546.08%42.74%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bu Yunchaokete (Visit)
Prediction 60.10%1.66fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.18%60.01%60.30%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.571.6467.57%63.24%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 39.90%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visit): 60.10%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +1.74%E +0.683%K +1.12%G +0.020% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -7.44%E -4.83%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 07:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.943%E +0.373%K +0.616%G +0.006% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.943%E +0.373%K +0.616%G +0.006% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.25%E -0.918%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-30 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 06:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 01:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 07:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.84%E -4.41%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.44%E -4.83%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 06:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.04%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.04%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.43%E -0.874%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-29 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.44%E -4.83%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.04%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.04%E -5.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.24%E -2.01%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 06:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.84%E -4.41%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.84%E -4.41%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.65%E -5.69%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -10.45%E -7.01%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -7.44%E -3.21%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -3.84%E -2.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.64%E -1.63%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.44%E -2.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:51 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.03%E -1.25%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -11.05%E -7.47%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-30 07:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.64%E -3.59%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.25%E -6.12%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-30 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -6.24%E -4.00%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 07:21 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.0% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |