Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Bu Yunchaokete

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.29%40.99%40.95%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.282.3845.45%43.69%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bu Yunchaokete (Visit)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%59.01%59.05%60.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.611.6364.94%62.32%62.11%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 40.96%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visit): 59.04%. For Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -2.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -2.51%E -1.06%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -9.08%E -5.90%K -16.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-28 18:10
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-28 17:49
Coolbet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 18:50
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.07%K -8.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 18:24
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 18:25
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-28 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.13%E -3.85%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-28 18:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-28 18:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:04
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.77%E -2.31%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 17:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-28 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.31%E -4.65%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-28 18:10
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.49%E -5.48%K -15.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-28 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-09-28 19:30