Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV +0.255%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.155%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%37.92%37.97%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.492.502.6442.55%40.22%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit)
Prediction 62.02%1.61fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.26%62.08%62.03%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.51%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 37.98%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit): 62.02%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.255%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +0.255%E +0.096%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -7.58%E -5.09%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.885%E -0.339%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.48%E -2.91%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 05:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.885%E -0.339%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.48%E -2.91%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.34%E -4.20%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 05:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.64%E -0.635%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.24%E -2.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -2.78%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.86%E -2.49%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.16%E -1.24%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.24%E -2.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 05:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.30%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.68%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.72%E -3.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 05:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.24%E -2.08%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 05:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.48%E -2.91%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.48%E -2.91%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 08:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 04:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.72%E -3.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 05:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.72%E -3.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.96%E -4.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 20:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.96%E -4.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.82%E -6.00%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 21:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -5.82%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -8.20%E -5.54%K -17.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-30 05:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -6.20%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.20%E -2.51%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.96%E -4.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 01:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -6.58%E -2.68%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -1.38%E -0.868%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 19:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.86%E -2.49%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.10%E -3.33%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 09:51 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.72%E -3.76%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.96%E -4.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.96%E -4.64%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 01:12 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.82%E -6.00%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-29 08:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.76%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.86%E -2.49%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.76%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.86%E -2.49%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.76%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -8.82%E -6.00%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-29 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-09-30 05:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-30 05:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 05:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.2% | 2026-09-30 05:45 |