Language:English
Ignacio Buse v Quentin Halys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV +0.991%
Edge +0.440%
Kelly +0.793%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.18%44.96%44.83%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2551.28%47.36%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Quentin Halys (Visit)
Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.751%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%55.04%55.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.701.7961.35%58.63%58.82%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ignacio Buse (Local): 44.88%; Quentin Halys (Visit): 55.12%. For Ignacio Buse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.991%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV +0.991%E +0.440%K +0.793%G +0.008% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 05:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.25%E -0.570%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 05:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.25%E -0.570%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 05:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.60%E -1.20%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.05%E -1.41%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 05:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 05:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 05:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.41%E -4.41%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.50%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.06%E -5.49%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -4.40%E -2.06%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -1.34%E -0.751%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.84%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 04:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.84%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 05:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.84%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.84%E -2.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.89%E -1.06%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 05:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.65%E -2.69%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.20%E -3.02%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.86%E -4.06%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 04:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 04:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.74%E -2.73%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.19%E -2.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.64%E -3.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.05%EV -7.09%E -3.42%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.95%EV -10.16%E -6.23%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 05:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 05:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.10%E -2.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 02:37 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.20%E -3.02%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.20%E -3.02%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 05:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.23%E -5.12%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.96%E -4.77%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.18%EV -10.68%E -5.37%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.82%EV -9.61%E -5.86%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-01 04:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.28%EV -11.58%E -5.88%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.72%EV -10.16%E -6.23%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-01 05:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.47%E -6.40%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.55%E -2.03%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-30 12:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-10-01 05:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |