Language:English
Bu Yunchaokete v Novak Djokovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bu Yunchaokete (Local)
Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV +5.05%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%24.29%24.42%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.754.3128.57%26.18%26.67%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Novak Djokovic (Visit)
Prediction 75.63%1.32fair odd
EV -0.930%
Edge -0.710%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%75.71%75.58%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.261.3184.75%79.59%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bu Yunchaokete (Local): 24.37%; Novak Djokovic (Visit): 75.63%. For Bu Yunchaokete (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.62%EV +5.05%E +1.17%K +1.53%G +0.077% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.38%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.59%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.98%E -5.68%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.59%E +0.845%K +1.10%G +0.040% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.065%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 12:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.065%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.98%E -5.68%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.26%E -0.563%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.50%E -0.626%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.50%E -0.626%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.50%E -0.626%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 12:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.50%E -0.626%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -9.25%E -7.71%K -46.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -2.50%E -0.626%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -10.76%E -9.12%K -59.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 06:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.75%E -0.688%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 12:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.75%E -0.688%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 12:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.72%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%EV -0.930%E -0.710%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-30 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -4.94%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.16%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.71%E -3.74%K -18.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 12:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.38%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.22%E -5.02%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 21:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.96%E -3.11%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 11:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.60%E -2.29%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.74%E -6.34%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-02 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.81%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.44%E -1.89%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 12:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 09:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.25%E -3.40%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.47%E -4.37%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 09:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.69%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.69%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.20%E -2.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.69%E -4.20%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -6.98%E -5.68%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33% | 0.2% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 12:25 |