Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Francisco Cerundolo

2026-10-01 02:00 UTC — ATP China Open

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prediction 43.27%2.31fair odd

EV -3.94%

Edge -1.77%

Kelly -3.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.41%43.46%43.15%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.042.152.122.2249.02%46.62%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)

Prediction 56.73%1.76fair odd

EV -2.43%

Edge -1.41%

Kelly -3.37%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.12%56.54%56.85%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.681.671.7262.89%59.57%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 43.27%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 56.73%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.72, with an expected value of -2.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.94%E -1.77%K -3.23%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.70%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-29 09:55
GTbets🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.37%E -1.98%K -3.61%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-29 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 09:50
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 09:55
Fanatics🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:59
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:54
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 12:20
SportsBet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.96%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-29 09:49
Paddy Power🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-29 09:54
Sky Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.80%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-09-29 11:50
NordicBet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-29 09:50
Betsson🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.67%E -2.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.83%E -3.51%K -8.83%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-29 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.10%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.70%E -2.79%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-29 12:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.40%E -3.88%K -9.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-29 09:55
LeoVegas🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-29 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.10%E -5.00%K -13.06%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-09-29 12:20
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Casumo🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
TABtouch🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 10:55
Grosvenor🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:00
Unibet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:00
betPARX🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -2.43%E -1.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-29 11:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.99%E -1.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-29 11:20
betano_uk🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-29 10:58
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.13%E -4.35%K -8.30%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.26%E -3.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-29 10:57
ReBet🎯	2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.56%E -4.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.67%E -5.38%K -14.21%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-29 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.80%E -6.16%K -16.61%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-09-29 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -6.96%E -4.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-09-29 10:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%	7.1%	2026-09-29 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%	8.1%	2026-09-29 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%	8.1%	2026-09-29 12:40
Smarkets◎	2.04I 49.02%NM 43.65%	1.58I 63.29%NM 56.35%	12.3%	2026-09-29 12:10