Language:English
Botic van de Zandschulp v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)
Prediction 43.08%2.32fair odd
EV -0.911%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.701%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.15%43.15%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3048.78%45.34%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 56.92%1.76fair odd
EV -0.394%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%56.85%56.85%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.661.661.7564.52%60.35%60.24%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 43.08%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 56.92%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -0.394%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -0.911%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.911%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.79%E -2.17%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 10:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 01:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.65%E -4.06%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.19%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.19%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 13:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 04:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -0.394%E -0.225%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 04:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -6.08%E -2.79%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -11.21%E -7.18%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-30 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.53%E -0.886%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 13:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -11.78%E -7.60%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-30 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.53%E -0.886%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.24%E -1.91%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.24%E -1.91%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.68%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -11.68%E -5.70%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.10%E -1.22%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-10-01 04:20 |